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Cake day: June 21st, 2023

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  • I’m very worried about the captured market being developed. AI chatbots are a surface level, consumer product to get some revenue. AI integrated into an IDE & coding pipeline is a different beast, and it’s creating a faster development pace beholden to token/credit payments. Do you want to develop a feature now or in 6 months?

    Things are not that simple. AI code inherits the same issues of LLMs (regression to mean). Certain things, such as single player video games, can be an absolute slopfest with code / security. Other industries with more restrictions (health data), more real world outcomes (finance, legal) will run into major issues. Those stories have been bubbling up & they are getting more prominent.

    The taste of “code but faster” speaks to the capitalist class to be maximalist. We get this engine where C level is investing in AI, having their mind blown, while people close to code see the gaps that exist still. C level spurs on “use this more!” which in turn benefits their portfolios making bets on “more people will use this.” Meanwhile, codebases degrade, and a new generation, who was told “a CS degree is super safe”, have had the rug pulled from them.

    I know many engineers/professional developers now who feel “ungrounded”, “lost at sea”, “unclear” of what happens next. We see great potential, RIGHT NOW, because this is likely the lowest cost for these services. All of this will ramp up, either in monthly cost, token cost, rate limiting. In a year, I wouldn’t be surprised if Claude code’s monthly cost has tripled, or there’s more tiers with less availability.

    OpenSeek, OpenClaw, etc., have promise for us not terminating in some (further) capitalistic hellscape.

    I felt really good at knowing what will happen in 2-3 years within tech, after 14 years of doing this. I’m really, really concerned right now, but I’m also trying to use the tools while they are cheap. Maybe I can make some of my dream games before we all explode. I dunno. 🤷
















  • Billionaire math

    Average USA billionaire has about $7b in wealth.

    2026 * 365 ‎ = 739,490

    $7,000,000,000 / 739,490‎ = $9,465.98

    You would need to make $9k per day, for 2026 years, to catch up to the average billionaire wealth right now.

    It’s estimated in 2026 that it would cost $37b to end world hunger until 2030.

    Also note that Musk, Bezos, and other extreme billionaires are up to 100x of the average here ($700b for Musk). Who is making $900k per day?

    This is not natural, it’s not rational, and it’s completely bullshit. You can come up with whatever distraction you want (“wealth & income aren’t the same”), but we should be taxing every dollar above $1b at 99% or higher.

    30 years * 365 day = 10,950

    $1,000,000,000 / 10,950 ‎ = $91,324.20

    I could easily live off of $91k per DAY for 30 YEARS.

    If you put these numbers against a human time scale we can understand, I don’t see the argument for this level of wealth, especially not as people go hungry, without clothes or food, and children die.