Well the explanation would work for one election, 2024.
In 2016, he was a terrible choice on so many fronts, but no especially strong reason to expect he would dramatically shift inflation or pay. And on those specific metrics, his first term was mostly typical, except pandemic, which people can believe to be an utterly freak event beyond anyone’s control if they still wanted to vote for Trump.
The global economic shock continued and was exasperated by war. Biden had little to do with it, but it was on his watch, so he gets saddled with blame, so to the extent a voter just thinks about their personal economic situation, they vote for “not the current leadership”.
So this term has been marked by utterly predictable economic problems that everyone told them would happen, but they didn’t have first hand experience to trust that, and Trump’s rhetoric resonated with the “I know smart people say it doesn’t work, but ‘common sense’ tells me get rid of immigrants and tariff all imports and things will be great, making American jobs and getting rid of foreigners taking the jobs”.
So now they get to see first hand why those common sense thoughts don’t actually work.
Still. I predict next year they’ll roll back tariffs to try to create a bit of deflation and also cut checks to everyone to make them feel like winners in the moment as they decide midterms.
Voting for rich guy will make me rich?? This is a myth. Rich ppl don’t get rich by giving money to others.
Well the explanation would work for one election, 2024.
In 2016, he was a terrible choice on so many fronts, but no especially strong reason to expect he would dramatically shift inflation or pay. And on those specific metrics, his first term was mostly typical, except pandemic, which people can believe to be an utterly freak event beyond anyone’s control if they still wanted to vote for Trump.
The global economic shock continued and was exasperated by war. Biden had little to do with it, but it was on his watch, so he gets saddled with blame, so to the extent a voter just thinks about their personal economic situation, they vote for “not the current leadership”.
So this term has been marked by utterly predictable economic problems that everyone told them would happen, but they didn’t have first hand experience to trust that, and Trump’s rhetoric resonated with the “I know smart people say it doesn’t work, but ‘common sense’ tells me get rid of immigrants and tariff all imports and things will be great, making American jobs and getting rid of foreigners taking the jobs”.
So now they get to see first hand why those common sense thoughts don’t actually work.
Still. I predict next year they’ll roll back tariffs to try to create a bit of deflation and also cut checks to everyone to make them feel like winners in the moment as they decide midterms.