• 2piradians@lemmy.world
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    10 hours ago

    All these easygoing Republican concessions…calm before the 2028 storm? I think the fact that things are mostly going the way they should at present makes it feel unsettling.

  • mercano@lemmy.world
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    11 hours ago

    Good on the incumbent, Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith, for not dragging this out in court.

    “While this is not the outcome we worked for or hoped for, I respect the decision of Mississippi voters. I want to congratulate Scott Colom and wish him well as he takes on the tremendous responsibility of representing our great state.”

    • ElJefe@lemmy.ca
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      8 hours ago

      Wow. Admitting defeat gracefully is seldom seen in conservative politicians these days. Very honourable of her.

      • jj4211@lemmy.world
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        11 hours ago

        I don’t see that happening. I’m fairly confident that the other Republican candidate votes had the incumbent as second choice, and it looks like that would be enough to put him in the lead. Also the other Dan Sullivan votes are likely having the incumbent be second choice.

        Would love to be wrong, but that’s my assumption of how the rankes choice votes are leaning

        • lennybird@lemmy.world
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          9 hours ago

          It’s looking good for her!

          Last week, the New York Times published an analysis of ranked-choice ballots cast in Alaska, showing that Peltola likely would earn more votes than Sullivan should the race advance to ranked-choice tabulation. Each Alaska voter got to choose up to two candidates out of the four Senate candidates on the ballot, with each choice ranked as the voter’s first or second choice.

          Two-thirds of Daniel J. Sullivan’s supporters ranked a second choice, with most of those voters supporting Ms. Peltola in subsequent rounds — an indication that they were not intending to vote for Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, as voters who chose the incumbent senator first rarely ranked Ms. Peltola second.

          https://ictnews.org/politics/election-2026/alaska-senate-race-tipping-toward-peltola/

          https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/peltola-leads-both-sullivans-combined-as-she-heads-to-victory-in-alaska-contest/

        • Huegoe@fedinsfw.app
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          5 hours ago

          More votes from “the other Sullivan” go to Peltola than to Sullivan + she will probably win befor RCV.

          • jj4211@lemmy.world
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            17 minutes ago

            Oh great, then the Trump admin will pull the trigger on the lawsuit saying the stunt spoiled the election.

        • scibra122@piefed.social
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          10 hours ago

          That’s true if you just add percentages. But ranked choice includes the possibility of “exhausting” your ballot by just not listing a second or third or fourth choice. That’s how Peltola won her house seat initially. When you think about it as a vote gap of 4000ish votes with 9000ish votes to be gained in arbitragr, Dan has to win about 50% of all of those ballots. He’ll almost definitely get 50% of the non-exhausted ballots, but the analysis I’ve seen of the RCV results released to date shows him falling well short so far of 50% of all ballots once exhaustion is accounted for

    • TheTechnician27@lemmy.worldOP
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      13 hours ago
      • If you mean Mississippi: look, dude, it’s an election, not a spectator sport to give you a dopamine rush. Their counting process can be improved (which local outlets like the Mississippi Free Press have covered), and they brought a lot of the affidavit ballot headache on themselves by improperly purging the voter rolls through known-shitty data as a form of voter suppression, but that doesn’t change that the counting process isn’t done for your entertainment. As long as everything’s counted when the state needs to submit it (and in Mississippi’s case, when the counties need to submit to the state), they’ve done their job.
      • If you mean the decision desks who called it, until today’s dump from Hinds County, Colom was ahead by only about 2500 votes with about 15,000 more left. Decision desks have a reputation at stake – built up over decades – anytime they call a race, let alone one as watched and consequential as this one.
      • And if you mean Hyde-Smith, she did this probably less than an hour after the AP called it. She did this quickly and overall has been basically fine through this process.
      • ccunning@lemmy.world
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        13 hours ago

        She did this quickly and overall has been basically fine through this process.

        The concession was the big surprise to me. I don’t know anything about her but I assumed she’d drag it into the courts, which was to my understanding, the only path to a ‘recount’ in Mississippi

        • TheTechnician27@lemmy.worldOP
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          12 hours ago

          Agreed; I was surprised to see it come so quickly. I think this is a combination of:

          • Knowing there’s no way to victory in the courts.
          • Following the herd of the rest of Republicans federally; if she’s basically the only one standing alone crying fraud, it’s probably not going to win over much public opinion.
          • The fact that contesting this would probably only bring more attention to how voting in Mississippi is already heavily rigged in favor of Republicans, e.g. the purging of voter rolls. (Edit: And wanting the fire around this to die down for the 2028 election season.)
          • The possibility that Colom’s lead is still going to increase from here, given how he’s been outperforming on affidavit and absentee ballots.
          • Her not wanting to drag this out any longer, given she did just lose her Senate seat from Mississippi to a black, Democratic man.
          • (Edit: @2ndDegreeOWO@lemmy.world correctly points out a huge one I completely missed: hella money.)
          • mikenurre@lemmy.world
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            13 hours ago

            “Her not wanting to drag this out any longer, given she did just lose her Senate seat from Mississippi to a black, Democratic man.” that she denied a promotion to a federal judgeship because she is MAGA trash.

            • TheTechnician27@lemmy.worldOP
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              13 hours ago

              100%. Even accounting for the fact she’s among a sea of Republicans who lost big this election, this has got to be pretty humiliating. I would just want it to be over in her shoes – and apparently she agrees.

            • 2ndDegreeOWO@lemmy.world
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              12 hours ago

              Also, keeping the campaign staff in the office, paying lawyers to prepare legal challenges … that all costs money, pretty significant money.

              If you can see the writing on the wall, it may be better to cut your losses and focus on the next campaign instead.

              • protist@retrofed.com
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                11 hours ago

                Also unless a state outlines a mechanism for the government to pay for a recount, recounts are typically paid for by the challenger’s campaign. That would have cost her millions

      • Rhaedas@fedia.io
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        13 hours ago

        Probably not, given the title, but maybe they meant electing a black person.

      • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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        12 hours ago

        As long as everything’s counted when the state needs to submit it (and in Mississippi’s case, when the counties need to submit to the state), they’ve done their job.

        Not quite. The faster they’re done counting, the more people can start thinking about how they should engage with their new elected official. Mostly thinking of Senate leadership here, since the election for that is in 6 days. It’s not the end of the world, but it’s not like nothing is gained by counting the ballots faster.

        • TheTechnician27@lemmy.worldOP
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          12 hours ago

          That’s a fair consideration I hadn’t thought of. Still, I don’t think that takes away from “As long as everything’s counted when [they] need to submit it, they’ve done their job.” That isn’t “there’s nothing to be gained by counting faster before the deadline” as much as it is “election workers shouldn’t be pressured to count votes faster”.

          Like for example, when I mentioned ways to improve the counting process (noted in e.g. this video, see 4:55), I was mainly focused on alleviating the workload of election officials rather than speeding up the results for audiences. Things like more early voting (which Mississippi basically doesn’t have) speed up the count, but the primary benefit is that they make it easier for people to vote, the secondary benefit is that it’s easier for election workers, and ultimately speeding up the results to audiences is a tertiary benefit at best.

          As long as the results get in on time, I don’t think there’s much compelling reason to make election results go brrrr if it doesn’t improve voting accessibility or alleviate some burden on the people doing the counting.

    • mercano@lemmy.world
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      11 hours ago

      Normally, the election boards don’t need to dig into absentee or provisional ballots because the winner has built a large enough lead with the “normal” ballots that they’ve mathematically eliminated their opponent. (They’ll still count them eventually, but they aren’t the deciding votes.) The margins of this race were so thin (less than half a percent) that no one was ready to call it until every vote tallied.