J.D. Vance’s lead in the polls could be collapsing because of his association with Trump, according to an expert

J.D. Vance’s chances of becoming the GOP nominee for president in 2028 have taken a dive, according to a new poll.

The survey looking at potential successors to Donald Trump has seen the vice-president’s lead in a list of theoretical candidates narrow significantly in recent months.

And in the most recent poll in November, the Vance’s margin continued to fall. According to the survey of 439 voters conducted between November 17 and 24, Vance’s lead over Trump Jr had plummeted to just 10 points. The latest results put Vance at 34% and Trump Jr at 24%.

Trump’s polling figures have collapsed in recent months, with every major poll giving Trump a negative rating for the first time ever.

Even a Fox News poll suggested that 61% of respondents think that Trump’s administration has damaged the economy, with just 3% approving of his economic strategy.

  • PumpkinSkink@lemmy.world
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    7 hours ago

    There is no universe where that guy was going to be Trump’s successor. Nobody likes him, he’s only there now because Peter Thiel believe he will allow him to replace humanity with robots or something.

  • 4grams@awful.systems
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    6 hours ago

    Wait his lead over who??? That coke fueled failson is in the running??

    Jebus, this is the stupidest country that has ever existed.

    • ilinamorato@lemmy.world
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      4 hours ago

      He hasn’t announced or anything. Neither of them have. The pollsters just provided some hypothetical names to compare; I don’t know who other than Vance or Jr, but if I had to guess I’d say probably people like Ron DeSantis, Greg Abbott, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Ted Cruz.

  • laranis@lemmy.zip
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    5 hours ago

    I can’t even click onto the article. Anyone who puts any stock in polls is living in a fantasy world. The activity is as flawed as the system it is looking to measure. We might as well be asking oracles or soothsayers. If the polls had any credibility we would be living in the Trump dystopia, several times over.

  • RufusFirefly@lemmy.world
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    13 hours ago

    I’m not sure if there’s anybody in the Republican Party that is a viable candidate, much less JD Vance. The Republican’s message may be populist but their motivations are pure greed and authoritarianism and a lot of red state voters are finally waking up to that fact.

  • ReasonablePea@sh.itjust.works
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    15 hours ago

    I’m not super familiar with pooling sample sizes. Is 439 a big enough sample to draw conclusions from? Is it a group of people that spreads decently across a specific demographic that historically produces meaningful results?

    I have such a hard time understanding political polling. Anyone know of a good way to get up to speed? Doesn’t have to be quick

    • frog_brawler@lemmy.world
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      6 hours ago

      It’s been 2 decades since I took a course on statistics but it was specifically the statistics related to polling, and I vaguely recall something around 1024 being the sample size that would provide 3% margin of error. 439 people surveyed means next to nothing.

      I could be a little off on my numbers but I know 439 isn’t enough.

  • EtAl@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    1 day ago

    Don Jr. is in second place!? That would be awesome if he got the nomination. He’s such a coked up clown, the American public would never vote for… such a… you know what, never mind.

    • kent_eh@lemmy.ca
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      2 hours ago

      Don Jr. is in second place!?

      Second place of the options the polling company suggested in the survey question.

    • Phegan@lemmy.world
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      21 hours ago

      We said that about trump in 2016, don’t wish for something, you might actually get it.

      • captainlezbian@lemmy.world
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        16 hours ago

        What if we insist that a circus clown on crack can’t be president. Like we’ve already got some coked up clowns, and so long as we find one that only speaks Canadian French and only cares about Quebecois politics it should probably be fine. And I’m sure someone from cirque was born here.

  • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    Vance’s lead over Trump Jr had plummeted

    What! Seriously?
    Those are what GOP is currently considering the best 2 options?

    USA is a joke, and unfortunately a very bad one.

    • TheOneCurly@feddit.online
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      24 hours ago

      The last name trump on the ticket will trick a significant number of people into thinking they got their 3rd term wish.

      • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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        24 hours ago

        I bet even Hillary could win over one of those two, not that I’m challenging her to try, I hope next if there even is an election, the Democrats will run with someone inspiring and progressive.
        But who am I kidding, from the looks of it, the chances of that are near non existent.

  • MrVilliam@sh.itjust.works
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    1 day ago

    If he wants to ever be president, he needs to either invoke the 25th amendment or get on board with impeachment.

    I dreamed that trump was impeached again and this time the Senate voted 50-50. Couch fucker was the tie-breaking vote, and he voted to convict, effectively electing himself president.

    It’s disheartening that this wasn’t a good dream, but it was still too good to realistically hope for.

    • [deleted]@piefed.world
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      1 day ago

      The House needs over 50% to impeach. The Senate needs 2/3 or 67 vote to convict so there wouldn’t be a situation where a tiebreaker comes into play.

      It is nice to dream though…

    • TachyonTele@piefed.social
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      1 day ago

      Impeachment will never happen. The guy in question is a convicted felon. What is impeachment going to do that it failed to do the other times he’s been impeached?