As Americans tire of Donald Trump, a Democratic midterm ‘tsunami’ could sweep the GOP out of power
It was a wake-up call for America. In January, Donald Trump took the oath of office, declared himself “saved by God to make America great again” and issued a barrage of executive orders. In the ensuing months the US president and his allies moved at breakneck speed and seemed indomitable.
But as 2025 draws to a close with Trump struggling to stay awake at meetings, the prevailing image is of a driver asleep at the wheel. Opinion polls suggest that Americans are turning against him. Republicans are heading for the exit ahead of congressional contests next November that look bleak for the president’s party.
“He came into office and, like a blitzkrieg, was violating laws and the constitution,” said Larry Jacobs, director of the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota. “The American political process is slow-moving and so he was able to do things that were extraordinary.
People who vote for the Democratic party can get disfranchised easily, but the Republicans don’t.
They will reliably vote Republican even if their party slits their throats, takes a piss on them, and kills their women.
This is the current conundrum.
MAGA specifically is a cult, they don’t follow any logic
Republicans have always been a cult. Look at how they’ve always deified Reagan
“The president is a fuckup. He still has my complete support!” -Republicans.
“Dragged down by an unpopular president” makes it sound like he’s not the leader of the Republican party, he’s not fully in control, he’s not giving orders all the way down. “Intentionally torpedoed by its leader and self-anointed king” might be more accurate. But I digress.
The American people won’t be fooled by polls again, right?
Right?!
Really? Because I predict that millions of Americans wont be voting Democrat or at all because of the utter incompetence of the Dems. Not to mention the immediate bending over for the GOP after winning 3(?) Elections, reopening the govt in exchange for a promise, when the right was in the worst position it has been in decades and just when they were really feeling the heat.
Plus, we all want the democrats to be the ones to make reasonable laws we can all get behind but they dont do that. Like the “high capacity” magazine bans. In a time where more leftists are arming themselves than ever before, nobody wants that. They keep warning of a fascist takeover while simultaneously disarming citizens. Or the fact they voted to fund the military to the tune of $1 trillion. Or the democrats that voted with Republicans against youth trans care. Or their response to most republican shenanigans, a strongly worded letter.
Democrats have been doing nothing but fumbling the easiest victories they could ever have over and over again. Idk how anyone can expect democrats to win anything with this old guard establishment demo still in power.
Say what you will about the GOP, and I hate what their doing as well. But at the end of the day they get their shit done. For better or worse, at least they dont just sit on their power. I wish I could say the same about the dems
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LMAO, a mid-term tsunami. Sure, probably brought by Santa
Do. Not. Trust. Polls.
DO. NOT. TRUST. POLLS.
This feels like a fucking repeat of the 2024 election. The internet naively believing they know the outcome, because certainly people can’t be that ignorant and shitty, can they?
They can.
They are.
Go talk to people in the real world, instead of reading articles written by fellow shut-ins, and realize that the narrative is FAR different for the average person. You people are setting yourselves up for disappointment. Again.
My prediction is the Dems will pick up just barely enough seats to take back control of the House. Not a snowballs chance in hell of taking back the Senate.
You’re one of those folks who are too stupid to understand probabilities and what polls are actually saying, aren’t you?
The polls in the run-up to the 2024 Presidential election were actually pretty good. The final aggregate error was right around 3.4 points [1]
Anyone who suggested that there was a clear favorite was lying about what the polls said. That’s not a failing of the polls, its a failing of the media reporting on the polls. Sure, there were some particular, individual outliers. The Anne Seltzer poll comes to mind. But, credit where it’s due, Seltzer published an outlier poll, because that was the outcome of the poll based on then methodology she had been using for a long time. Like with scientists publishing null results, it’s actually really important that such things are published and not hidden, but they are usually hidden.
Go talk to people in the real world, instead of reading articles written by fellow shut-ins, and realize that the narrative is FAR different for the average person.
Then plural of “anecdote” is not “data”. And quite the opposite here, if you’re out talking to people within your own social bubble, you’re far more likely to get a warped view of reality. This is one of the reasons polling is so hard, getting a truly representative sample of the population is hard. It is also likely a reason polls keep underestimating Trump. People with low social trust seem to favor Trump, and those same people are very hard to poll. They don’t often pick up the phone and often aren’t willing to divulge their political choices to strangers on the phone. So ya, expecting the polls to “miss” by 3-5 points, underestimating Republicans isn’t all that out of line.
My prediction is the Dems will pick up just barely enough seats to take back control of the House. Not a snowballs chance in hell of taking back the Senate.
This is funny, because this is very much an opinion which will have been informed by polling. It’s also what most analysis are coming up with:
Articles like the one posted by the OP are just pure hopium. Dems may make some gains this year, but a rational analysis of the current polling data tells a bleak story. They might get the House, the Senate is basically out of reach.
The only poll that matters is in November
The Trump fans are still out there waving their flags. Cheerleaders go a long way.
You speak sense. We can’t keep falling for these polls.
The polls and prediction markets showed Trump ahead in 2024…
I can’t talk to people because I’m not American, and after '24 I’m clear that my sources of information are biased and left-leaning.
Realistically, and with everything that’s happened, do you really think the Republicans will hold out?
From the outside, it looks like significant chaos; either the Democrats are very stupid, or the Republicans have massive media outlets to manipulate people (and letting that happen brings us back to the stupidity of the Democrats)
I makes no sense that you say your source of information is left leaning and at the same time say the republicans have massive media outlets to manipulate people… Which one is it?
either the Democrats are very stupid, or the Republicans have massive media outlets to manipulate people (and letting that happen brings us back to the stupidity of the Democrats)
Both of those things are true, but also many Democrats are not very motivated to change anything so long as they themselves continue to benefit financially from the status quo, even a fascist status quo. This is a comfortable career for them, with investment opportunities, not an existential battle on behalf of the people.
I don’t understand, some Democrats benefit even if they lose, or benefit from winning even if the party loses.
I know the system is flawed, but if it makes things so bad for a specific group, it won’t matter what happens in this year’s elections.
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If only there was something they could do do about the reasons for that plummeting public acceptance of their own party and its leadership…
“If conservatives become convinced that they cannot win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism; they will abandon democracy.”
That quote is attributed to one of Bush’s speechwriters.
He has seen the monster from the inside.
I have so little faith in my neighbors, I won’t be surprised if they gain seats.
Little faith in my neighbors AND that the elections will be above board
This is the mentality to have through November, 2026.
Sad state of affairs but I agree.
Can’t wait for the Dems to get power and just do a lighter version of what Trump is doing and everyone to fucking love it.
It’s usually how it goes lol
Rarely do they actually learn and change for the better. They just get better at messaging around the same shit and people delude themselves into thinking there is any functional difference.
It’s funny, we hear about “be nice or you will push them further right” but really it’s the shitty policies that push people to look for more extreme solutions. Wait, that isn’t funny…
GOP President violates laws, attacks our allies, openly takes bribes, and is barely functional.
Voters say ‘We must be rid of him.’
Dem President steers a steady, if unspectacular, center Left policy that slightly improves voters’ lives.
Voters say ‘He’s weak! We must be rid of him!’
Dems are not left of center, get a grip.
The DNC never seems to undo the damage the GOP does, while continuing some choice parts of their horrors.
It feels like they work as the arresting mechanism on a ratchet and the only way the country is allowed to move is towards fascism.
I’d be eager to see some candidate come into office and use these same techniques the GOP does to actually fix shit and improve people’s lives in a meaningful way. The GOP are going to say that they’re a radical leftist authoritarian regardless of their actions, might as well be one
The DNC never seems to undo the damage the GOP does,
It takes a lot more time, effort and money to repair something than it does to break it.
I remember Biden trying multiple times to reduce student debt, only to be thwarted by the Republicans.
The wheels of justice were grinding along at their normal slow pace to convict Trump of some of his provable crimes, all the while being interfered with by Republicans and their nominees.
It takes time to do things the right way. Especially when troublemakers are constantly shoving sticks into the spokes.
It was moving forward, just much more slowly than people wanted
I’ve heard this tired excuse since I can remember understanding any element of politics.
Simply, a system is what it does.
If “the right way” can only seem to continue to concentrate wealth upwards, conduct horrors in the name of peace across the globe and continue to squash the rights and lives of the hard working people that make the gears of society turn, well, then it doesn’t seem like it’s “the right way” for a vast majority of people.
Try looking at some recent history.
Obama came in with both Houses, and barely got the Affordable Care Act passed.
If you want a strong Dem majority you have to fight harder.
The GOP will block anything it can.
Adding on to that:
Obama had only the house for the first two years. The Senate has the filibuster rule which means control takes 60 seats.
On January 20th, 2009, 57 Senate seats were held by Democrats with two Independents (Bernie Sanders and Joe Lieberman) caucusing with the Democrats for 59 kinda’ Democrat-ish votes in the Senate. Two more needed for “both houses”.
Also, that included Ted Kennedy and Al Franken. Kennedy had a seizure basically at the start and never returned to vote. Al Franken wasn’t seated until July 7th, 2009 because of repeated recounts.
So really 57 Senate seats. Three or four more for him to have both houses.
Kennedy was replaced by Paul Kirk in September and three other people swapped parties. So Obama had full control of the House and Senate from September 24, 2009 through February 4, 2010.
Four months.
If you’re looking at that and thinking, “isn’t that when they wrote and passed the ACA?” then you’ve got a good eye and a better memory.
Good thing Biden gave away the public option before negotiations even began, otherwise us Americans wouldn’t be paying 3-4x plus in medical expenses thanks to this broken and corrupt insurance industry.
Surely part of Biden’s incredible popularity was his promise to add public option, instead of the far more sensible M4A, on day one of his term. After he was elected though, he must have forgor…
This is largely because people like Biden are still in this old school camp of gentlemen’s agreements where you don’t undo what the previous person did because that would be going against voter will or something. It really only works if both parties are trying to move the country forward.
The DNC never seems to undo the damage the GOP does, while continuing some choice parts of their horrors.
100% this! I’ve been on my worthless DINO rep about what the plans are to FIX what has been done, not just STOP anything else from happening - crickets. So I also let her know I’m done with this “vote blue no matter who” shit and the only vote I’d be casting for her seat is if she loses to a primary opponent.
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The dems do centre right policy almost exclusively.
Yes, thank you for this small dose of reality.
There are good reasons the Dems are so wildly unpopular, and pretending that they are anything resembling “left” is a massive disservice to the people.
Liberals have shifted to parroting what I can only assume is the establishment democrat point of “we can’t run leftist policies because they aren’t popular and leftists can’t win elections.” Which is ridiculous because their lack of popularity stems from them moving to the right constantly, and is easily disproven because YOU CAN SEE WITH CURRENT ELECTION TRENDS THAT LEFT WING POLICIES ARE POPULAR AND WIN ELECTIONS.
I do not understand the Liberal mindset in america anymore. I used to see them as potential allies but they’ve shown me that they are not capable of being that.
Today’s Dems are basically Reagan Republicans
And their voters are supporting them simply because they don’t openly hate the gays. It’s funny too because a shitload of democratic politicians, like Schumer, ARE crazy religious old fucks who definitely do hate the gays and liberals STILL don’t seem to care.
Guess what? You live in a country where most of the people are ‘center right.’
Mamdani was running against a know sex criminal and a local joke shock jock and he barely got 51% of the vote. He did worse than Harris.
Rudy Giuliani got 65% when he ran for a second term.
I’d love to have a massive Left vote, but I doubt I’ll ever see it.
Guy actually wins the election and the popular vote and you say he did worse than Harris?
He’s openly a socialist and he literally won in New York City. Guess what? You’re fucking wrong and your point makes absolutely zero sense.
The cowards could probably still save themselves if they did the right thing and removed him, but they won’t so they are complicit
insert Hawkeye meme
Unpopular seems to me to be quite an understatement. I can only report back from Germany: here, he is deeply despised by most people.
Since he will never actually be punished, I just hope he lives long enough with his wits about him to see himself reviled and stripped of any respect and power. I don’t have a lot of room for hatred in my heart, but there is no awful thing that could possibly happen to him that I wouldn’t celebrate. I hope he experiences pure agony before the end.
And there are people who’ve done far worse to me personally I don’t feel that way about.
Don’t forget the Millers and Vances and all the eager fascists working to create Trump’s agenda. Plus the Heritage Foundation and the Project 2025 people and all the evangelicals. Only a fraction of what’s happening comes from the pedophile rapist crook with dementia who stands at the front. Any justice has to include all the other agents of fascism too.
I have some hope that they will face justice. Trump never will. He just won’t. Miller should be facing the rest of his life in prison. But he’ll probably make sure Trump pardons him on the way out. Miller is probably a much worse human being than Trump. I would support giving him over to The Hague. Trump can’t pardon that.
Any chance you can return the “depose the fascist” favor? You do kinda owe us one.
Unfortunately, in Germany we are also facing major problems with the resurgence of fascism. Here, it takes the form of the AfD these days, a right-wing extremist party that basically stands for the same inhumane ideology as MAGA: hatred, greed and blatant stupidity.
I attribute the popularity of these damn fascists primarily to the fact that Europe uses the same US social media platforms, which are controlled by the same billionaires. Another reason may be that Europe is also experiencing an economic downturn, and the AfD, like MAGA, promises a return to “the golden days,” which is of course a blatant lie, especially since the AfD is a neoliberal party that, like MAGA, exclusively pursues policies that benefit the super-rich - yet somehow people here don’t seem to see through this either.
So I’m afraid we can’t help out, especially since the world today is a completely different place, if only because of nuclear weapons. Sorry :(
I’m afraid I phrased that incorrectly: In Germany, the US president is despised by the vast majority of rational-minded people, but unfortunately there are also many completely brainless, hateful people here who vote for a party that stands for exactly the same Nazi bullshit.
